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Petal's avatar

Happy new year William and all 🥂

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Ollie Parks's avatar

It will be devastating if the Court finds that so-called trans kids are a "quasi-suspect class—a distinct group warranting heightened protection by federal courts." It will turn Skrmetti into the new Roe v Wade, an epochal decision that could take decades to undo.

The problem is that at the moment the centrist sex realist movement is in its infancy. It is still next to impossible for gender critical individuals to fully state their case in the mainstream media. When trans activists captured the institutions by stealth, they also conditioned trans allies to view all critics as hateful transphobes. It has worked exceptionally well. If the evangelical right takes the lead in challenging the case, they will likely alienate almost everyone left of center, including moderate Democrats. Also, if their arguments are rooted in scripture and morality, they'll neglect the subtler reasons why trans kids don't deserve heightened protection. That is because they're an imaginary class that was engendered by trans activism that emerged from pernicious post-War philosophy. It ain't natural.

I hope that Amy Coney Barrett's maternal instincts (her litter puts most mama cats to shame) do not blind her to harm caused by transitioning minors; that the Court's notorious misanthrope Clarence Thomas will remain true to form; that Samuel Alito recognizes gender identity ideology as another product of the secular culture he hates; that Neil Gorsuch heeds the advice that is usually given to those who have fallen into a hole of their own making (i.e. Bostock), to stop digging; and that Brett Kavanaugh and John Roberts don't rule in favor of trans kids in an attempt to stanch the hemorrhaging of the high court's political capital since the Dobbs decision.

It is fortunate that the evangelists of gender ideology are now facing determined opposition from the combined forces of 20 attorneys general. I hope they clean their clock.

The political backlash against Trump's election might present sex realists with new obstacles. Oregon's incoming attorney general, who is yet another member of the progressive machine that has a stranglehold on politics in Salem and Portland, is putting together a panel of experts to help him mount a counter-offensive against MAGA assaults on all the usual victims - undocumented migrants, etc. - including the trans and genderqueer. It would be surprising of this were not occurring in other states controlled by Democrats. It is premature to speculate about the significance of this development until it becomes clear whether and how the Trump administration plans to roll back the many ill-gotten gains of trans activism.

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